Page 7 - AAA SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER 2022 Online Magazine
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a shortage of about 8,000 pilots. The region will face a short-  compared to the same period in 2019. During
        age of about 30,000 pilots by 2032, The Middle East is likely to  the period, the country’s airports served 40.7
        face a shortage of 3,000 pilots by 2023 and 18,000 by 2032,  million passengers, an increase of 56.8 per-
        the report adds.                                               cent from the same period last year. As many
                                                                       as 1.8 million foreign passengers traveled
                                                                       to the country, an increase of 904.6 percent
                                                                       from the corresponding period last year.
                                                                       The pace of recovery is, if anything, expected
                                                                       to be even greater in the second half of the
                                                                       year.  In  June  this  year,  the  Civil  Aviation
                                                                       Administration of China (CAAC) approved
                                                                       carriers in Vietnam and China to operate two
                                                                       flights per week, up from one flight per week.
                                                                       With the threat of the pandemic dying out,
                                                                       Vietnam has opened borders and restored
                                                                       flights to more than 20 countries, including
                                                                       Japan, the U.S., the Republic of Korea, China,
                                                                       Taiwan,  Singapore,  Thailand,  Cambodia,
                                                                       Malaysia, Hong Kong, the Philippines, Laos,
                                                                       Qatar, Turkey, UAE, France, Germany, the UK,
                                                                       Russia, and Australia. According to the Civil
                                                                       Aviation Authority of Vietnam (CAAV), the
                                                                       country’s airports will serve close to 88 mil-
        Crucial Market                                                 lion passengers in 2022, an increase of 190
                                                                       percent from 2021. The numbers of foreign
        Projections by the three major plane makers provide proof, if any  and domestic passengers are expected to
        was needed, about the central role played by the Asia Pacific in  touch 5 million and 82.8 million, up 844 per
        shaping the future of the industry. Boeing’s Commercial Market  cent and 178.4 per cent respectively.
        Outlook 2022–2041 forecasts a market value of US$7.2 trillion
        for new airplane deliveries, with the global fleet increasing by   Battle for the Market
        80 per cent through 2041 compared to 2019 pre-pandemic
        levels. Asian markets will account for roughly 40 per cent of long-  Vietnam’s  speedy  recovery  hasn’t  gone
        term global demand for new airplanes, with Europe and North  unnoticed. Earlier this year, both Embraer
        America each accounting for just over 20 per cent of demand,  and Airbus conducted tours of the country,
        the company says.                                              displaying the E190-E2 ‘TechShark’ and the
                                                                       A220 respectively. There are opportunities up
        According to Airbus, the Asia-Pacific region will require 17,620   for grabs in the country, with both Vietnam
        new passenger and freighter aircraft during the next 20 years,   Airlines and Bamboo Airways having made
        with about 30 per cent of these replacing older less fuel-efficient   public their plans to upgrade and diversity
        models. The region will register passenger traffic growth of 5.3   their fleet. Bamboo Airways has ambitious
        per cent per year. Much of the demand will be for smaller jets.   plans for its fleet and wants to have 100 air-
        According to the European powerhouse, Asia-Pacific will continue   craft by 2028.  Vietnam Airlines intends to
        to drive demand in the medium and long-range categories, with   acquire new planes for its regional routes as
        about 42 per cent of global requirement. Embraer forecasts a   it retires its fleet of ATR-72 aircraft. A decision
        global demand for 10,950 new aircraft in the up-to-150 seats   on the aircraft type is expected soon, with the
        category, including 8,670 jets and 2,280 turboprops. The Brazilian   new jets to be pressed into service by 2023.
        plane maker predicts that while revenue passenger kilometers  While Embraer officials believe the E190-E2,
        (RPK) will grow 3.2 per cent annually (CAGR) over the next two  which is designed to operate with up to 114
        decades, the growth will be more pronounced in the Asia Pacific,  passengers onboard, is the ideal aircraft for
        at 4.3 per cent. As many as 2,230 of the new jets and 960 turbo-  flights between regional and rural airports
        props will be delivered to carriers in the region, it adds.    with shorter runway distances, Airbus claims
                                                                       that the A220’s range and capacity make it
        Showing the Way                                                the right choice for carriers that want to open
                                                                       new  regional  routes.  According  to  Airbus
        The one bright spot in the region is Vietnam, which has seen its  officials,  the  aircraft’s  unmatched  range
        domestic aviation market recover at a speed unmatched any-     capability makes connections from Vietnam
        where in the world. According to Airbus and IATA, the growth rate  to Australia, the Middle East, and North Asia
        of the domestic market in the first half of 2022 is 123 per cent  possible.

        ASIAN AIRLINES & AEROSPACE                                                    SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER 2022 | 7
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