Page 24 - AAA JULY-AUGUST 2012 Online Magazine
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FEATURE NARROW-BODY





                                                                                Slicing the pie
                                                                                What is clear is that it’s not just airbus and
                                                                                Boeing who see the potential of the new
                                                                                narrow-body  market  –  the  newcomers
                                                                                want  a  slice  of  the  pie  too.  and  many
                                                                                have  deep  pockets.  Boeing  commercial
                                                                                airplanes’  president  Jim  albaugh  has
                                                                                said that coMac is the main threat to the
                                                                                Boeing-airbus  duopoly.  “competition  is
                                                                                a great thing. airbus coming along made
                                                                                Boeing  a  better  company.  coMac  will
                                                                                make  both  Boeing  and  airbus  better  at
                                                                                what we do,” he said. albaugh assumes
                                                                                coMac  will  initially  focus  on  domestic
                                                                                markets, but that eventually it will have a
                                                                                product that is perfectly able to compete
                                                                                with Boeing and airbus.
                                                                                   analysts believe china will succeed in
                                                                                the narrow-body market as it has a huge
        ABOVE China is soon to              body  type  expected  to  enter  the  market   domestic  market,  which  will  guarantee
        enter the narrow-body               in  2016.  airlines  from  china  and  two   plenty of orders for a long time to come. it
        market with the locally             lessors have already ordered the aircraft.   has also been successfully making bodies
        built COMAC C919                    china certainly has the ability to produce   and wings for other aircraft builders. and
                                            planes  more  cheaply,  though  airlines   there is no doubt there is room. airbus and
                                            know the purchase price is only one part   Boeing  estimate  a  total  of  about  13,000
                                            of  owning  an  aircraft.  there’s  also  20   narrow-body  aircraft  built  over  the  next
                                            years of after-market support to consider.   20 years. that’s about 700 per year – only
                                            Meanwhile,  russia’s  irkut  MS-21  is  also   around 85% of what the producers expect
                                            looking for orders. it boasts cutting-edge   to supply next year.  So there will be a dip
                                            construction including a composite wing   in orders. and there will be a significant
                                            designed  by  Sukhoi,  fly-by-wire  flight   expansion in the number of narrow-body
                                            controls, advanced avionic systems, and is   builders. Which will either bring mergers,
                                            powered by the Pratt & Whitney PW1000g   collapses,  or  dramatic  price  drops.  or
                                            geared  turbofan,  but  again  after-sales   maybe all three. it won’t be a dull decade
                                            support planning is a little hazy.  or two, that’s for sure.
























        Projections by Boeing show two key trends (ABOVE) - a massive jump in single-aisle, narrow-body jet numbers, along with an
        equivalent surge in Asian uptake. The key driver (ABOVE, RIGHT) is the booming LCC market which has quadrupled in six years.



        24   ASIAN AIRLINES & AIRPORTS  JULY / AUGUST 2012                      WWW.ASIANAIRLINES-AIRPORTS.COM
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