Page 11 - AAA MARCH - MAY 2022 Online Magazine
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mechanics take much longer to create, and  too in the coming years. With a good portion of the nearly 10.000
        there is a much more rigorous regulatory bar-  aircraft being added to the world fleet going to that region, it’s going
        rier to entry.                               to be even harder to keep up with the number of mechanics and
                                                     skill sets required,” he adds.
        “Suitably qualified aircraft AMT can take up to
        eight years to reach the stage of becoming a ful-  The shortage of labour may drive up maintenance costs for air-
        ly-licensed AMT. This elongated time scale can   lines and increase turnaround times for scheduled maintenance;
        significantly impact outdated line maintenance   a potentially devastating blow for the industry, as many airlines
        processes which give rise to overruns on MRO   already struggle to keep profitability at a reasonable level due to
        planning time and an upsurge in unplanned    low-cost tickets.
        tasks,” according to an industry expert, who
        didn’t wish to be named. Another reason is   Recruiting Dilemma
        that the average age of these mechanics in the    To some degree, the problem stems from the aircraft maintenance
        field right now is 30-50 years old, and over 20   technicians’ current wages, benefits and perks, notes Oliver Wyman,
        per cent of technicians are over 64 years old,   who conducted a study which showed 51 per cent of respondents
        according to the Aviation Technician Education   in the MRO industry identified wages and benefits as an obstacle.
        Council (AETC) report. This means that about   However, wages and benefits aren’t the only issues. According to
        35 per cent of the industry will be eligible for   ATEC, up to 30 per cent of those who finish an aviation mainte-
        retirement in the next five years.           nance training course end up working in another industry.

        “We believe there will be a shortage of aircraft   How to Face It?
        maintenance technicians in the next 10 years.   Upgrading IT systems and technologies is thought of as one way to
        In the US, the average technician is 51 years   ease some of the pressure from the labour shortage going forward,
        old, which is nine years older than the rest of   as it will allow MROs and airlines to optimise their operations and
        the workforce. This means that half of the cur-  workforce productivity. At a recent MRO event, multiple speakers
        rent aircraft mechanics will retire in the next   encouraged the industry to consider hiring people with other pro-
        10-15 years. It couldn’t have come at a worse   fessions than what is usually associated with aerospace. Creating
        time for US airlines, as they are in the middle of   a more diverse workforce could lead the aviation industry in a new
        refleeting and need the seasoned mechanics to   and perhaps more efficient direction, they opine. However, this
        support the many aircraft coming into service in   alone will not be sufficient to combat the impending talent shortage,
        the years to come,” comments Brian Prentice,   says Prentice. Upgrading technology is just one of three ways that
        Partner, Oliver Wyman, in a report published on   the industry can prepare for the future labour market, he notes.
        the company’s website.
                                                     “There are three things that airlines and MROs can do to address
        The MRO workforce challenges in aviation     this looming technician shortage: First, they can expand the can-
        is apparent across the globe. Europe, too, is   didate pool – by entering into public-private partnerships in order
        facing similar challenges, and although Asia   to attract more individuals into the technical profession. Second,
        seems to have enough mechanics available     they can invest in training to get new mechanics up to proficiency
        at the moment, this may not be the case in   as quickly as possible. And third, they can invest in technologies
        a few years’ time. According to Airbus, the   and tools to provide the mechanics what they need at their point
        aviation MRO industry will require 635.000   of views,” Prentice explains.
        new maintenance technicians by 2037, with
        Asia requiring a massive 44 percent of these.  Other Challenges

        “Executives in Europe report that it’s getting  Simultaneously, MRO providers face disruption in the used ser-
        harder to attract, develop and retain aircraft  viceable materials (USM) market, as the inventory of sidelined and
        mechanic and aircraft maintenance technicians  retired aircraft are stripped for parts. This cannibalization will create
        than it ever has been before,” says Prentice.  a substantial ripple effect throughout aviation’s supply chain and
        The problem may emerge sooner in Asia, where  will make it critical for MRO providers to ensure reliable sources
        the bulk of growth in the aircraft fleet is slated  of used parts.
        to occur. Ultimately, the shortfall may raise the
        cost of maintenance for airlines and increase  Oliver Wyman forecasts spending on all parts and materials — used
        turnaround times for scheduled maintenance.  and new — in 2020 will be US$26 billion, down from a pre-COVID
        This could potentially force the airlines to retain  estimate for the year of US$60 billion. USM will constitute about 11
        more spare planes to avoid cancellations and  per cent, or US$2.8 billion. In 2019, the market for parts and mate-
        late departures resulting from maintenance  rials was US$52 billion, of which about nine per cent, or US$4.7
        delays.                                      billion, was USM. As observers opine, the MROs and airlines that
                                                     are adequately prepared to meet the shortage of labour head-on
        “In  Asia,  though  they  have  enough  aircraft  and meet the inventory requirements will have a lot to win in the
        mechanics today, they might face challenges  years to come.


         ASIAN AIRLINES & AEROSPACE                                                             March_May 2022 | 11
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