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However, hitting these targets will require cut- by 2029 and be worth $31.90 billion with a CAGR of 12.25%. Space is
ting-edge software. currently being used to avoid detection from hostile forces or nav-
igate precise missile strikes. Intergovernmental organizations such
Prediction 3: A third of fleets to be as NATO are trying to lay operational frameworks as military forces
autonomous in the next 20 years become more reliant on space-driven operations. NATO released
the “Overarching Space Policy” in 2022 to lay the foundations for
The use of autonomous vessels has increased the aspects of the space domain and preserve the alliance security
across both sides of the Atlantic, with the UK and success.
Royal Navy’s new Testbed ship which allows for it
to deploy the MAST-13 AUV, a water-borne drone The policy reinforces that NATO will use space-based assets as a
able to identify mines and gain information on tool to coordinate between members. Important functional areas
hostile forces. The U.S. military followed suit are highlighted to show the need for space systems such as space
by unveiling its third unmanned surface vessel situational awareness, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnais-
fitted with advanced combat and navigation sance (ISR), space-based monitoring of Earth-based domains,
systems called ‘The Mariner’ which with a few satellite communications, position, navigation, timing, and shared
more developments is hoped to be deployed in early-warning assets.
2030. The U.S. navy hope this is the start of their
NAVPLAN which aims to have unmanned surface Prediction 5: Cybersecurity is crucial to enable the safety
and subsurface vessels make up 1/3 of its fleet. of data driven advancements – as 50% of companies
are predicted to receive a cyber-attack in 2023
These vessels allow for military forces to put
less warfighters in danger and enable forces The increased use of digital technology and data-driven operations
to survey previously dangerous areas to gain means that military forces are more susceptible to cyberattacks.
intel. Bigger payloads can be deployed on these Due to this, military forces, and supplier software needs to be able
ships due to less area being taken up to house to detect, report, and solve security issues to ensure all data is safe
personnel—allowing for more fuel for longer and systems can still function.
deployments or more sensors to gather greater
surveillance. Cyber warfare is more prominent than ever before, so in 2023 cyber
security needs to be taken to the next level with supporting software
Due to the vessel being unmanned, a self-mon- infrastructure throughout military supply chains. Security systems
itoring and diagnostic system needs to be need to be pen-tested to prevent and respond to threats from
developed to accurately sensor faults and plan hostile cyber-attacks.
for maintenance time. Here is where a digital
twin ecosystem will be required to keep these New technologies, new assets, new deployment models will only be
autonomous vessels mission ready. possible with improved security

Prediction 4: Space emerges as the new These developments in technology across the defence industry in
frontier: predicted to reach a 12.25% 2023 show the outlook is very positive—but a secure digital backbone
CAGR by 2029. is critical to maximize new technology, equipment, and operational
processes. This will also ensure that cyber-security is strong enough
The space market is expected to reach the stars to protect data from any potential hostile cyber-attacks.
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