Page 9 - AAA JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2017 Online Magazine
P. 9

FEATURE AIRLINE FORECAST





                                            see the airline opt for an interim solution.   Perth and Adelaide, as well as Shenzhen to
                                            The  airline also  plans  to open  up services   Sydney.  China Eastern has also increased its
                                            via Japan to Las Vegas, Los Angeles and San   Australian footprint to 58 weekly services
                                            Francisco. Its arch rival Malaysian Airlines   over the Christmas-New Year holiday period
                                            is looking to quit its A380s into charter   as it moves to take advantage of a 23 per cent
                                            operations and replace them with far more   growth this year in the number of Chinese
                                            competitive and nimble A330neos or 787s   visitors heading down under.
                                            in 2017. Chinese airlines are certainly on   Countering these increased offerings
                                            the move. An excellent example is China   from  lower cost airlines  traditional  carriers
                                            Southern Airlines which signaled further   such as Singapore Airlines and Cathay Pacific
                                            expansion into the Australian market with a   Airways are taking delivery of new A350s
                                            deal with Tourism Australia aimed at boosting   that will cut operating costs by up to 25 per
                                            marketing activities in China. The three-year   cent while providing passengers with better
                                            MOU was signed in December shortly after   amenities. Further south, Garuda Indonesia
                                            the arrival of China Southern Airlines flight   has new wings and after resuming flights to
                                            CZ663 from Guangzhou, the first direct   Europe it is looking to resume US operations.
                                            commercial passenger flight between China   Clearly the old order has been destabilised
                                            and South  Australia.  China  Southern chief   and an interesting dynamic in this has been
                                            executive and president Tan Wan Geng said   the collapse of oil prices. At the recent CAPA
                                            he had great confidence in the Australian   Asia Aviation Summit held in Singapore its
                                            market. “Australia is a market we value highly   founder and Chairman Peter Harbison said
                                            where we still see opportunities to expand   that in the past two years the industry has
                                            our operations further, as demonstrated by   singularly changed as a result of the collapse
                                            our decision to add Adelaide to our global   in  oil  prices.  “Despite  fluctuations  and  an
                                            network,” he said. The comments came less   expected slow tick upwards, fuel is not
                                            than two weeks after governments of both   projected to be a major hurdle through 2017.
                                            countries  signed an  open skies agreement   The downside is that the rapid decrease in
                                            lifting restrictions on operations between   fuel prices drove yields to plummet, erasing
                                            major cities according to AirlineRatings.com.     some – even all – of the benefit of low fuel
                                            China  Southern has  increased  capacity  to   prices.’’  “This pattern begins to enter a
                                            Australia by 35 per cent in the past year, with   dangerous cycle as low prices create traffic
                                            56 weekly  services  now operating  between   growth, which in turn expects even lower
                                            Guangzhou and Sydney, Brisbane, Melbourne,   fares. IATA has observed yield decreases

























                   China  Southern  Airlines  has
                   signalled its intent to target the
                   Australian market and increased
                   its capacity to Australia by 35
                   per cent in 2016
                            WWW.GBP.COM.SG/AAA                                   JANUARY / FEBRUARY 2017  ASIAN AIRLINES & AEROSPACE  9
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