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© Boeing

        “Aviation is a very complex industry, one that is very heavily reg-  at the Boeing 767-200 and 300, they will be
        ulated,” said  Keinyte. “There is a lot of space for digitalization  replaced by the A330s. This is a constantly
        and introduction of technology. Due to the regulations, there is  evolving game where older aircraft are being
        a delay in seizing some technological opportunities. That is why  phased out and new aircraft coming in which
        the industry is not progressing as fast as some others.”       are more sustainable and efficient.”
        Of all the companies in the air cargo sector, Astral Aviation, which   Change in consumer behavior, increasing
        has announced plans to enter the Indian market, has perhaps the   levels of spending power, and an expectation
        most ambitious plan for fleet growth. The Nairobi-based cargo   for speedy delivery of products and services
        airline’s current fleet of 15 aircraft will double within three years,   will spur the continued growth of the sector,
        Gadhia said. Besides continuing to acquire Boeing aircraft, the   added Strauss. “By 2030, there will be zero
        company is also adding Airbus and Embraer freighters.          people below the poverty line. That creates
        “The Boeing 767-300 is coming in next year,” Gadhia added.     consumer demand, changes the  marketplace.
        “We have also signed up for the Boeing 777-300 freighter. We   Vessel shipping is still the dominant trans-
        are the first airline in the world to acquire the A320 freighter.  porter of goods around the world. Just one
        We are getting the second A320 in January next year,  followed  percent of moving out of vessel shipping over
        by the A321s which will all be operating  out of India. We are  to air cargo is about a 75 per cent increase in

        also looking at the A330-330 and have signed up for two air-   air cargo. If there is demand for faster move-
        craft; it is a great aircraft that is designed to carry  perishables  ment of product currently shipped by ocean
        and e-commerce. We are the first airline in the world to fly the  freight,  there’s not another solution outside
        Embraer 190 freighter. The aircraft, which will be converted in  of air cargo. I think it’s going to be pretty
        Brazil and brought to Kenya, is capable of carrying 12 tonnes of  smooth sailing until about 2030.”
        cargo; they are very good for  point to point.”

        No Long-term Worries

        It will be smooth sailing for the air cargo industry once the cur-
        rent headwinds dissipate, believes Keinyte. “Long term, there will
        be a growth in demand spurred by growth of e-commerce and
        change in consumer behavior. There are certain regions that are
        not sufficiently covered capacity wise.”

        Gadhia believes the process of conversion of passenger aircraft
        to freighters is  constantly evolving, thus helping to balance
        supply and demand. “When you look at the 747s, they are being
        replaced by the Boeing 777s. When you look at the Boeing 757s
        they will be replaced eventually by the A321s. When you look
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        ASIAN AIRLINES & AEROSPACE                                                        NOVEMBER-DECEMBER | 13
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