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Delicately                                                                                              [ REPORT  ]








            Poised





























         WITH EGYPT DIVERSIFYING ITS ARMS                              region. A healthy relationship between the U.S.
         SUPPLIER BASE, A SUBTLE SHIFT OCCURS                          and Egypt plays a major role in limiting Russian
         IN THE LONGSTANDING EGYPT-U.S. DEFENCE                        and Chinese inroads into the region, something
                                                                       that the U.S. is keen on ensuring. Expect Egypt
         RELATIONSHIP                                                  to continue efforts to diversify its arms suppli-
                                                                       ers, with or without Washington’s blessings.

           Arun Sivasankaran                                           Seeking an Attitude Shift
                                                                       Failed  attempts  made  since  2013  by  the
                                                                       Obama, Trump, and Biden administrations to
         By braving potential sanctions and purchasing weapons from coun-  make Egypt improve its human rights record
         tries such as Russia and China, Egypt has made its intentions clear  prove that punitive actions such as suspend-
         to move away from depending totally on U.S.- made arms, but  ing weapons deliveries, reprogramming aid,
         Washington will, for the foreseeable future, remain its preferred  and withholding financial assistance are not
         provider of military material.                                as effective anymore as they once were. Egypt
                                                                       today is on a much stronger footing financially
         The Biden administration’s decision in September to withhold  than it was about 40 years ago;  the up to
         US$130 million worth of military aid to Egypt until Cairo takes  US$1.3 billion in annual foreign military financ-
         specific steps related to human rights is a plot twist, but close  ing that Washington  has provided Egypt since
         military-to-military ties between the two countries, with Foreign  the 2017 fiscal year amounts to less than half a
         Military Financing (FMF) as its backbone, will ensure the durability  percent of  the country’s GDP now, compared
         of the partnership. The contours of the relationship, though, are  to U.S. aid constituting nearly 6.5% of the GDP
         definitely changing.                                          in 1978.  While there is a section that believe
                                                                       that the U.S. is being too soft on Egypt for its
         Egypt’s calculated risk in going ahead with the purchase of Su-35  alleged human rights violations, others believe
         fighter jets from Russia, after the U.S. refused to sell it F-35 fighter  that strongarm tactics by Washington will only
         jets, has much to do with the fact the U.S. cannot ignore how critical  make Egypt move closer to the U.S’ principal
         the  Middle Eastern country is for its military requirements in the  adversaries – China and Russia.



        ASIAN DEFENCE TECHNOLOGY                                                         November / December 2021 | 9
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