The trend of recovering growth rates that global air cargo markets has seen since February continued in July, according to figures by the International Air Transport Association (IATA).
The air cargo demand was tracking just 0.8% below the previous year’s levels. Although demand is now basically flat compared to 2022, this is an improvement on recent months’ performance. This is particularly significant given declines in global trade volumes and rising concerns over China’s economy.
Global demand, measured in cargo tonne-kilometers (CTKs), tracked at 0.8% below July 2022 levels (-0.4% for international operations), a significant improvement over the previous month’s performance of -3.4%.
Capacity, measured in available cargo tonne-kilometers (ACTKs), was up 11.2% compared to July last year (8% for international operations). The strong uptick in ACTKs reflects the growth in belly capacity (29.3% year-on-year) due to the summer season.
“…Many fundamental drivers of air cargo demand, such as trade volumes and export orders, remain weak or are deteriorating,” said said Willie Walsh, IATA’s Director General. “And there are growing concerns over how China’s economy is developing. At the same time, we are seeing shorter delivery times, which is normally a sign of increasing economic activity. Amid these mixed signals, strengthening demand gives us good reason to be cautiously optimistic.”
Asia-Pacific airlines saw air cargo volumes increase by 2.7% in July 2023 compared to the same month in 2022, a significant improvement compared to June’s -3.3%. North American carriers posted the weakest performance of all regions, with a 5.2% decrease in cargo volumes in July 2023 compared to the same month in 2022. July marked the fifth consecutive month in which the region had the weakest performance.
Eropean carriers saw air cargo volumes decline by 1.5% in July compared to the same month last year. Middle Eastern carriers experienced a 1.5% year-on-year increase in cargo volumes while Latin American carriers posted a 0.4% increase in cargo volumes.
African airlines had the strongest performance in July with a 2.9% increase in cargo volumes compared to July last year. Notably, Africa–Asia routes experienced significant cargo demand growth (10.3%).
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