Page 92 - AAA JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2017 Online Magazine
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COLUMN HAZEM HUSSEIN



        Back to the Future



        Airlines are already looking at addressing tomorrow’s challenges






                ave you ever been caught out   it’s essential for airline profitability. In an   classes etc. in the economy cabin – and
                waiting one more day to book your   intensely competitive environment with high   fenced using fare rules such as advance
                flight, only to find it’s now US$500   fixed costs, every dollar counts.  purchase, minimum stay, flight restrictions
        Hmore expensive? Or wondered           In fact it’s good for customers too. On one   and more.  This allowed for a more refined
        why booking late is often excruciatingly   hand it gives travellers on a budget a chance   customer  segmentation  to  maximise
        expensive, but sometimes also the way to bag   to get that bargain; on the other, it sets aside   revenues. Technology had advanced enough
        a last minute bargain? Perhaps you’ve also   seats at a higher fare for travellers who really   to enable airlines to begin forecasting
        questioned how it’s possible to have a dozen   need them, regardless of price.   demand on certain journey segments.
        different fares for the same economy seat?                              However,  the focus  was  on  understanding
           Maybe  you’ve  chalked  it  up  to  simple   Back in the Day When Things were   the revenue impact of each leg, rather than
        supply and demand. In fact what you’ve   Easier                         the overall traveller journey.
        witnessed is revenue management at work   Revenue management has been instrumental
        – a complex, algorithm-based system that   for airlines for many years, and as with many   Entering an Era of Transformation
        aims to maximise the profit on each flight. It   things, was simpler back in the early days   By the 1990s major transformation was
        works by forecasting demand, segmenting   of air travel. If we look back to the 1970s,   underway. A few pioneering airlines started
        customers, and optimising fare availability   competition  was  lower,  airfares were  more   to  put  focus  on  origin  and  destination  (O&D)
        by deciding how many seats to sell at each   regulated, and airlines generally offered   revenue  management,  focusing  on  how
        fare level at any one point in time.  just two fare classes: business and leisure.   to optimise their entire network, not just
           The core concept here is price   These classes were clearly fenced from each   individual legs. Adding complexity here was the
        discrimination by segmentation – charging   other,  and  the airline’s  priority was to  woo   increasing number of connections, routings and
        different customer types different prices for   as many who could afford to travel on board   codeshares between alliance partners.
        the same product based on their willingness   and at the same time manage overbooking.   A bigger shift, though, was the unseen
        to  pay.  A leisure  traveller  from  Singapore   Revenue management played its part, but it   game changer.  The internet.  Travellers had
        to Hong Kong booking two months in   was quite rudimentary.             started booking their own flights. Online
        advance may only be willing to pay $400 for   By the 1980s, competition had flourished,   travel agencies became a key distribution
        an economy seat on a full-service carrier,   new routes had opened, and fares had   channel, upping the ante on an already
        whereas a business executive who is bound   dropped  –  which  meant  airlines  needed  to   competitive sector, and travellers now had
        by obligations would fork out US$700 for   be clever to remain profitable. Number of   access to greater transparency and the ability
        the same seat. It sounds pretty ruthless, but   fare classes increased – think Y, B, E booking   to compare prices easily. It also had another
                                                                                side-effect – accelerating the popularity of
                                                                                low-cost carriers  (LCC)  with their simplified,
                                                                                pay-for-what-you-need products.
                                                                                Adapt or Disappear
                                                                                Full-service  airlines  had  to  adapt  or
                                                                                disappear. Most were able to do the former
                                                                                by emulating LCCs’ effective merchandising
                                                                                practices – unbundling the travel experience.
                                                                                By doing so, they could increase revenue
                                                                                capture per passenger, at the same time
                                                                                avoid a ‘race to the bottom’ price war.
                                                                                   But unbundling had a perception
                                                                                problem: it upset some customers who
                                                                                were used to the full service experience. So
                                                                                airlines started  focusing on the customer
                                                                                perception of value through “fare branding”
        92   ASIAN AIRLINES & AEROSPACE  JANUARY / FEBRUARY 2017                WWW.GBP.COM.SG/AAA
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