Page 19 - AAA NOVEMBER - DECEMBER 2022 Online Magazine
P. 19

INTERVIEW


        DESIRE FOR


        AIR TRAVEL



        HAS RETURNED


        BUT THE MAIN CHALLENGES FOR AIRLINES ARE
        THE OVERHANG OF DEBT COUPLED WITH THE
        EXPANDING CRACK SPREAD, WHICH IS THE
        HIGHEST IT HAS EVER BEEN,
        SUBHAS MENON, DIRECTOR GENERAL OF THE
        ASSOCIATION OF ASIA PACIFIC AIRLINES (AAPA)
        TELLS JAY MENON, EDITOR OF ASIAN AIRLINES &
        AEROSPACE IN AN EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW.


        EXCERPTS:


        AAA: The aviation industry has repeatedly shown resilience to
        come back stronger, bolder and smarter from previous crises    SUBHAS MENON,  DIRECTOR GENERAL
        that have threatened to disrupt the status quo. How optimistic   OF THE ASSOCIATION OF ASIA
        are you about the future of air travel in the region?          PACIFIC AIRLINES (AAPA)

        Menon: It bears repeating that the pandemic is not over. Many of  plan for its members in 2023?
        us are still learning to live with it. But we can be hopeful that by
        year-end, Asia-Pacific air travel volumes will recover to at least   Menon: Recovery will continue to grow
        two thirds of the pre-pandemic levels. Full recovery may take   by leaps and bounds. The focus will be on
        another year at least, provided the Global Economic Outlook    improving the seamlessness of air travel with
        doesn’t get any worse.                                         technology, aviation sustainability and most
                                                                       importantly keeping up the safety record.
        Prospects for air travel in the region are bright. Despite the
        global macroeconomic picture air travel is up six fold and forward   Recovery is tied to how open borders are.
        bookings are strong well into 2023.                            Most Asian markets are fully open now. China
                                                                       remains closed and not surprisingly air travel
        Indeed, the recovery of the Asia-Pacific region stands in contrast  to and from China is laggard.
        to other regions which are already seeing air traffic volumes close
        to 90 per cent of the 2019 levels. That is the quantitative picture.   AAA: What measures should the government
        Qualitatively, air travel is pretty much like what it was. Airports   adopt in order to facilitate a full global recov-
        are busy, flights are full… the desire for air travel has returned.  ery for the aviation industry?
        The immediate challenges are high fuel costs. Strong US Dollar.   Menon: Step up the roll out of technology
        Looming recession in wealthy countries.                        at airports to improve seamless air travel,
                                                                       for instance by sanctioning digital identity
        AAA: What is preventing the aviation industry from fully recov-  processing for passport and visa clearance
        ering to pre-pandemic levels?                                  for border access and security clearances.
        Menon: It is a challenge to ramp up supply of flights in the short
        term to meet the strong pent-up demand. Many have left the  AAA: How important is it for organisations
        industry after it was shut down for over two years. At the same  like AAPA to encourage the full recovery of
        time unemployment is at its lowest in decades. New hires and  the global aviation industry?
        existing manpower have to be trained or retrained. Background
        checks and certification also take time. It will take at least till the   Menon: Very. We need to see how we con-
        end of the first quarter of 2023 for supply to match up.       front the immediate operational challenges
                                                                       and how flexible we are to adapt to dynamic
        AAA: Are we are seeing a new year of recovery? What is AAPA’s  market  conditions.  These  will  decide  how

        ASIAN AIRLINES & AEROSPACE                                                        NOVEMBER-DECEMBER | 19
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