Page 23 - ADT MARCH 2021 Online Magazine
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“THE QW-12 MISSILE SUCCESSFULLY  How Safe is Safe?                                                         [ MISSILE  DEFENCE ]
        SHOT DOWN A SPECIALLY                        The US national missile defence system is robust, comprising
        DESIGNED TARGET AIRCRAFT                     40 ground-based interceptors at Fort Greely in Alaska and four
        BUILT TO SIMULATE AN ATTACK                  at Vandenburg Air Force Base in California. Twenty more will be
                                                     deployed by 2023. The Biden administration also has plans to build
        HELICOPTER BY MIMICKING ITS                  a new interceptor to counter long-range ballistic missile attacks.
        INFRARED SIGNAL,” the Global Times           However, no missile defence system, or a combination of systems,
        claimed.                                     can ensure total protection. A study by the American Physical
                                                     Society (APS), published in February, questions the ability of the
        “As the QW-12 missile was approaching, the   U.S. to defend against intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs)
        aircraft released eight decoy flares that resem-  even after investing more than US$350 billion in ballistic missile
        ble the infrared signal of the target aircraft in   defense.  The report, which examined a hypothetical North Korean
        an attempt to disorient the missile. However,   strike and the response of current and future missile defense sys-
        the missile ignored the flares and hit the air-  tems, concluded that current capabilities are inadequate and future
        craft.” If the reports are true, the targeting   systems unlikely to do the job of defending the country in the next 15
        technology that can distinguish the actual   years at least, even from a small number of North Korean missiles.
        target from decoys would enable the hand-
        held shoulder-launched weapon to neutralize   The report, which considered midcourse warhead intercept sys-
        countermeasures.                             tems such as the Ground-based Midcourse Defense (GMD) system
                                                     and the Aegis ballistic missile defense (BMD) system, said that the
        South Korea, which has to contend with a     unreliability of the GMD system and its vulnerability to countermea-
        hostile China as well as North Korea, is contem-  sures seriously limit its effectiveness against ICBMs. Boost-phase
        plating replacing the THAAD missile defense   missile intercept systems, which would attempt to intercept ICBMs
        system with a long-range surface-to-air mis-  during their first few minutes of flight, “could theoretically defend
        sile (L-SAM) that is expected to be ready for   part of the U.S.” but would be incapable of defending the entire
        deployment before the end of the decade.     country. For a space-based boost-phase missile intercept system
        Successfully test-fired in February by the state-  to be successful against a single North Korean ICBM, hundreds of
        run Agency for Defence Development, L-SAM    weapons orbiting on space platforms would be needed while thou-
        is reportedly capable of targeting incoming   sands of such weapons would be required to defend five ICBMs
        missiles at altitudes of around 50-60km and   launched within a short time, the report added.
        has a price tag that is significantly less than
        the THAAD, which costs about $US 3 billion
        per unit. Once deployed, the L-SAM will be   The Pentagon, however, remains confident. According to a report
        one component of a layered defense network   by its Director of Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E), the
        that includes the Patriot Advanced Capability-3   country’s various missile defense programs, working together, are
        missiles and the indigenously produced       capable of defending the country against ICBMs.
        Cheongung II KM-SAM medium-range weap-
        ons. The country is also working on a US$2.6
        billion artillery interception system, on the lines   “THE MISSILE DEFENCE SYSTEM (MDS) HAS
        of Israel’s Iron Dome, to defeat North Korea’s  DEMONSTRATED A MEASURED CAPABILITY TO
        long-range guns and rockets. In January, South   DEFEND THE UNITED STATES, DEPLOYED FORCES,
        Korea signed a US$3.5 billion deal with the UAE   AND ALLIES FROM A ROGUE NATION’S MISSILE
        for the export of the KM-SAM, providing a fillip
        to its domestic defense industry.            ATTACK,” the report said.

        ASIAN DEFENCE TECHNOLOGY                                                                   March 2022 | 23
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